8/13/2013

Rumour of early snap election

There are some noises that an early poll could be called judging from the visits by ministers to residents. I can’t confirm this but are there reasons for an early premature poll? It is something that would be frown upon as a waste of money and time of the people when the last GE was slightly more than two years back. The calling for a snap poll must need a very good reason to do so. And looking at the sentiments today and the revelations of so many flaws in the system, it cannot be a good time for the PAP right now. Unless my perception is wrong and the PAP thinks that the ground is sweet again. Who knows?
 

There could be a few reasons for the PAP to want to call an early election. LKY is looking more like a physical burden to himself and to his constituency, and it is best to remove the obvious and put in a younger MP to do what an MP is supposed to do. It is also a good time for him to take a really good rest, to reminisce and romanticise his youth, and to bask under the glory before it is gone.
 

It would also be an opportune time to retire all the oldies in the team and bring in a few more eager beavers as several of the dropped ministers are just waiting to be released to the private sector to make their millions. It is agonizing to see them sitting at the back rows in Parliament and trying to bear with the new faces and their out of depth speeches. It is time to set free the tortoises, turtles and birds for them to lead their lives anew, like an act of acquiring merits in Buddhism.
 

Then there are some that are seen more like burdens to the team than assets and it is best to release them as well before they do more harm and damages.
 

But these are still not good enough reasons to risk an early poll. In a time like this when there are obvious anger and unhappiness over so many outstanding issues, unless something can be done to take away the sting, to make the people happy again with a battery of populist policies or handouts, no way will there be an early poll.
 

Ya, maybe this will be the key for a surprise poll. Christmas may come early, snow in June, and Hsien Loong could act as the lovable Santa Claus with bags of goodies for everyone, to lift away the dark clouds and brighten up the sky. Without a slew of positive policies that are people centric, that would benefit the people substantially and not just feeling good for the moment, a snap poll is definitely out of question.
 

Now let’s watch what Hsien Loong is going to say and do in his National Day Rally for a clue to substantiate this rumour. Please don’t accuse me of spreading this rumour. It is something that I heard on the ground. And it is something to think about and talk about.

34 comments:

Anonymous said...

If I were PAP, if there is an agenda for a snap election, it can be called anytime lah to fulfill my agenda.

Because the strongest opposition is also not ready to be govt anytime what, tio bo?

Because 43% is already "fixed deposit" votes for PAP. PAP just need to convince only another 17% more that WP will be a worse govt than PAP in order for PAP to get 60% votes and 93% seats again in a general election.

If I am not wrong, I think even WP Low Thia Khiang himself also think like the 17% from an interview he gave after the Punggol BE.

What more can PAP ask for, you say lah?

Ⓜatilah $ingapura⚠️ said...

Spreading rumours won't change the future lah. Spreading legs OTOH, can have varied consequences ;-)

If there's going to be an early election, any fore knowledge isn't going to make any difference.

If it's going to happen it will, if not, it won't

Sing bitchez, sing!

Chua Chin Leng aka redbean said...

This kind of rumour is different from DRUMS. This is another kind of academic exercise, looking at the possibilities and options and the rationales.

By the way, you have forgot to buy me kopi today. This morning very thirsty. Needs to beg for kopi kau from you guys/gals : )

Anonymous said...

Coming GE in 2016 is almost certain that the 2 formers PMs are not in the contest. MParade grc anchor man already symbolically passed the baton to the army general.

It would the first general election without the participation of a very important figure to that party. His political retirement would be a challenge to them without a unifying figure to hold such a mammoth entity together.


Anonymous said...

By the way, you have forgot to buy me kopi today.
RB August 13, 2013 11:15 am

Your blog should be programmed such that when folks comment, they also automatically buy kopi for you lah.

Then no need to beg for kopi lah.

You didn't beg for comments what, tio bo?

Anonymous said...

Better still, if they just only visit your blog, automatically buy kopi already.

Anonymous said...

RB! They can call by election what as GE risk is too high. Tio Bo? By the way already bought kopi for u lor

Anonymous said...

Tanjong Pagar-Tiong Bahru meet the people is assisted by Ms Indranee Thurai Rajah MP for Tanjong Pagar GRC (Tanglin-Cairnhill).

The grc rule says NO to by-election for its individual wards.

But by-election is allowed for single-seat wards.

One wonders if the needs of residents for their own MP is any difference from that of a GRC.

GRC is set for minority rep. according to them.

But the needs of the citizens/residents for their own parliamentary reps are separate issues ?

Support CHANGE of the GRC -by election rule.

It is very unfair for the MP also. MP covers MP for short term is alright but for so long it is not very fair to the person also

the rule is not so fair to the Member of Parliament who already has many things to do in his or her wards

is this the best solution PAP can come out with?

Member of Parliament are legislator for goodness sake

Chua Chin Leng aka redbean said...

Hi anon 12:31, the system is designed in such a way that one has to visit the adverts to count. And the longer one stays with the advert, flipping through them, it will count more.

It will be nice if just visiting will count.

Thanks everyone for the kopi kau kau: )

Anonymous said...

The ex ministers would wish they need not be present in parliament. Some have been doing that but with the TV coverage, their absence looks like sore thumb. Beg they are telling the PM to let me go.

Anonymous said...

Is the PAP government ready to govern?
If not, any time is a bad time for a General Elections.
It is rather unfortunate for the PAP that even with high salaries, they seem unable to attract competent candidates.

Anonymous said...

If PAP needs high salaries to attract candidates.
And if other political parties don't need high salaries to attract candidates.
If true, then why is Singaporeans' tax money being used to subsidized such an unattractive political party with a seemingly bankrupt political ideology?

Anonymous said...

They are paid so much that they are immuned to the humongous sum and did not know the amount is so obscene. And they are still not satisfied and expecting more.

Now the country's coffer is being held hostage and depleted by the huge continuous payout and needing more money to keep the wheels turning. Just like the high housing prices, unable to stop or whole system will collapse.

Anonymous said...

It would be a Pyrrhic victory if an early poll is called. Would the PAP be prepared to risk losing a few more seats and even ministers which look guaranteed at this point, to maintain a further reduced majority/ I think no way, since it would be like setting the tone for an eventual post lky slide from power.

It has to be weigh against how much goodwill it is able to salvage between now and 2016. But IMO if it is still going to remain wayang as sop then I think a slide is inevitable with or without 'foreigners' aka instant citizens' 'intervention'.

b said...

Maybe many ministers (especially the elderly) have made their billions and wanting to retire in a luxury resort so they can escape from being prosecuted due to uncover of wrong doings by the oppposition?

Maybe the housing prices are going to dive down in 2016 due to economic situation so calling an election will be the best solution to retain whatever power they can?

We can speculate and the people will speculate. It is best for the gov to come out to clarify. Afterall, we are paying for their salaries.

Anonymous said...

A victory is a victory, Pyrrhic or not.

Anyway, if the strongest opposition is not even ready to be govt, how Pyrrhic can it be for a PAP victory, you say lah?

Anonymous said...

"Maybe the housing prices are going to dive down in 2016 due to economic situation..."
b August 13, 2013 3:39 pm

Haven't reach 6.9 million people yet what, so how to dive?

Prices will only go up or at worst remain steady lah. As long as there are people in Sinkieland and with more to come.

Anonymous said...

By Monaco standard, Sinkieland can even have up to 10 million people and still remain prosperous.

So what is 6.9 million, you say lah?

So I think PAP knows what they are doing. Only daft Sinkies don't know.

Anonymous said...

Monaco has an area of only 2.02 sq km and a population of 36,371.

Sinkieland has an area of 700 sq km.

So by Monaco standard, Sinkieland can have up to 36,371/2.02*700 = 12.6 million population!

So 6.9 million is definitely OK.

b said...

>>354pm

Most monaco people live in france or other parts of eu, they only have a postal address or small apartment in monaco. Free border with EU. Unless we have free border with malaysia, we can even hit 20m. Btw, no coe or erp in monaco. They also have one of the highest car ownership.

Chua Chin Leng aka redbean said...

If we can remain prosperous with the present population, why want 6.9m? What for? Or are they saying that if we don't grow the population, that the economy will collapse?

Who put us into such a situation, like a drug addict, no drug cannot tahan, can also die?

Even at 5m or 4m, we should be able to live a good life. Slower, lesser growth perhaps but not necessary, but cost of living and housing prices will be lower and need smaller income and GDP to live well.

Anonymous said...

I think a snap election is very unlikely.....but nothing is impossible.....never rule anything out.....

I think the PM may reorganise his cabinet after rally ........name his new deputy (the next PM)......I guess mr heng stands a good chance ...... promote ministers ...etc....

Then let the incoming PM and his team organise the ground and fight the next general election (can be in 2014 or 2015 depending on world economy).......

Anonymous said...

>>3:45 pm

If the housing prices are based on population ponzi, it will come down sooner or later. There are many reasons that will lead to that. Just google.

Anonymous said...

Anon 4.12

U ARE 100% CORRECT!

HOUSING PRICES GOING TO CORRECT 20-30% IN 2015!

Anonymous said...

Look like Old Fart is getting worst and worst senile by the day, and keep asking Pinky "Who am I ?" and "Why isn't you washing my shitty underwear ?"

Anonymous said...

It is possible PAP will call a snap election.

Why?

Maybe because a lot of smart Sinkies had joined PAP since Punggol by election.

These smart Sinkies will change PAP for the better from within PAP.

It is better than to join WP to make the change, tio bo?

Anonymous said...

WHO DO YOU THINK IS THE NEXT PM?

Anonymous said...

Maybe the next PM is not even from the current cabinet!

Or maybe there is a new party to be formed and ready to contest 100% of the seats even in a snap election!

Or maybe can even be Chee Soon Juan!

A Sinkie version of Aung San Su Kyi or Nelson Mandela!

And maybe and more maybe....

Anonymous said...

>> 4:17 pm

For more readings on housing crash, watch this video: the biblical money code.

(http://w3.newsmax.com/newsletters/uwr/video_money_codea.cfm?promo_code=141BA-1)

Anonymous said...

Asking PAP for help;
Reminds me of an old song;
"Looking for love in all the wrong places"

Anonymous said...

The next PAP Prime Minister has in the past, and will always come from PAP's CEC (Central Executive Committee).

What exactly is PAP's CEC?
Answer:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_Executive_Committee_%28PAP%29

Who are the current members of PAP's CEC?
Answer:
http://sg.news.yahoo.com/pap-elects-new-central-executive-committee--090454384.html

Anonymous said...

Alternative political parties should not contest should there be any snap election.
It is never good to have to clean up the shit left behind by others.
Worse is to be mired by the shit.

Anonymous said...

My view is that there will be a snap election, which will happen about 3-6 months after the old man meets his maker. The media will oblige with weeks of coverage on his achievements and the ruling party's accomplishments, party stalwarts will sing his praises and utter phrases like "Singapore will go on, to preserve his legacy" and the wave of sympathy votes will sweep all opposition wards back to them, maybe with the exception of Hougang.

Anonymous said...

Anon 0.35

I wish to differ.......

I think the LKY factor will have very little impact on the voters especially those in the 20s and 30s.....those in the 40s and 50s, many have changed, many are now very unhappy with pap policies.........so snap or no snap LKY is not a factor.....